Are they really this good?
January 19th, 2010 by PeterSThe Sabres headed out on a 7 game road trip last Thursday, with Coach Lindy Ruff saying he was looking for 9 or 10 points from the 14 available. I was thinking 8 would be good (a winning record on the trip) but maybe it’s time to start holding this team to a higher standard. The Sabres are 9-0-3 over there last 12 games and 14-2-4 over the last 20. As of today, they are 12 points up in the Division, with a game in hand on Boston and 3 on Ottawa. While teams in 5th through 13th place teams are all battling for the final 4 playoff spots, the Sabres are instead battling for the Conference with Washington, New Jersey and Pittsburgh.
When I watch them play, I keep thinking to myself “Are they really this good?”. I remember watching the team in December of 2005 coming out of the lockout, a game at HSBC arena against Dallas. Dallas was one of the top teams in the West at the time, and the Sabres looked like the better team on the ice. That was the moment that season where I realized that “Yes, this team is really good!”
I’m still waiting for that moment to happen this season. I went to the game against Colorado about 10 days ago. Again they got off to a slow start and got down by 2 goals early in the game. They played a better 2nd period but were down 3-1 going into the third period. Just when I thought they were out, they score two in the 3rd and take it to the 11th round of the shoot-out before losing.
But this is what they’re doing…they’re finding ways to win games, or at least to get points. They’ve come from behind in several games in the last month, at least three times now from two goals down. They’ve won tight defensive contests. They’ve won shoot-outs, and in last nights 7-2 win.
So, I thought about it a little bit more: are they really this good?
Well, there’s no doubt from a goaltending standpoint they are about as good as it gets. I’ve often said that Ryan Miller, while having potential, had not reached the status of a top-5 goalie in this league. Well, he’s reached that and then some. You would have a hard time not putting him in the top 3 this year, and could definitely argue in favor of #1. He leads the league in both goals against (at 2.01) and save percentage (a jaw-dropping 0.936 as of this morning). AND, he does this on a team with no real defensive stars.
But, let’s talk about the defense. I said they had no stars, but that will change in short order. Tyler Myers, unless he has some setbacks in the next few years, is rapidly maturing into a top defenseman, and he already shares top pairing duties with Henrick Tallinder. He is excellent at using his size, and the pair is playing some excellent hockey. In addition, he has 27 points, 5th on the team, and is providing the offensive help that has been sorely lacking since Brian Campbell left for Chicago. (That’s 15th in Defenseman in the NHL, and he is only 2 points out of 10th - Brian Campbell, BTW, has 5 more points and makes $6 million more per year.) He should at least be in talks for the Calder Trophy, though I doubt he wins it.
But, I don’t want to ignore the rest of the D-men. As a whole, they are playing very well. Individuals get hit with a lot of criticism on the message boards…I hear just about everyone (Rivet, Butler, Montador) getting bashed at one time or another. And yes, they do make mistakes at times, even Myers has made a few doozies. But with Miller back there, they have enough to keep the team in every game. (They are currently tied of 2nd in the league in team goals against at 2.21.)
Offensively, I would say the team is performing slightly below what I expected, but all of that is on one player: Thomas Vanek. While he leads the team with 13 goals, I would expect him to have 20-25 by this point in the season. You add that to the rest of the team and the Sabres are top ten in the league in offense. The Sabres are currently 18th in the league in offense, but are only 6 goals shy of Dallas, who is 9th in the league. Beyond Vanek, you have a team that is spreading the offense around. I argued before the season started that this team succeeds on the back of not Vanek, but on a healthy Tim Connolly. And he is providing the most spark, with a twelve game point streak and 42 points in 49 games played. Other players that had off-seasons last year have picked up to their normal pace. Jochen Hecht and Jason Pomminville in particular are back on track as playing better two-way hockey which has also led to more scoring opportunities. Mike Grier’s addition has been huge in terms of the work ethic of the team. (Can we sign this guy to a 3-year extension please!) They currently have 7 players with 10 or more goals, and likely will finish the season with at least 11 players in that category.
So, I’m beginning to believe this team is for real. The playoffs are all but assured, and the Division will be hard to lose at this point. While winning the conference would be nice, I would be happy if they could get the #2 position and hold on, giving them home ice in the first two rounds.
While I’m hoping to increase my number of updates, I won’t be watching the next 4 games, as they all start at 10 PM EST or later.
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